Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Carter 60.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 64.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 85.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 73.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Dvorak
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dvorak
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
65.6% (262)
-8.6%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
68.3% (63)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
50.5% (99)
-0.5%
On power play, Dvorak has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Dvorak is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dvorak shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Carter
Home
58.3% (151)
64.3% (207)
Away
57.4% (190)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Dvorak
Carter
P1
56.7%
65.3%
P2
56.7%
60.1%
P3
59.6%
63.8%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |