Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Carter 58.5% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 76.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 53.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 63.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Dvorak
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dvorak
Carter
Last 5: Dvorak 2-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Dvorak
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
59.7% (727)
-7.5%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
68.1% (72)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
53.2% (139)
+0.3%
On power play, Carter has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Dvorak is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Dvorak shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Carter
Home
54.1% (423)
58.7% (455)
Away
50.2% (494)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Dvorak
Carter
P1
51.4%
61.3%
P2
52.0%
57.1%
P3
52.4%
59.8%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |