Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.7% vs 57.0%). Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Carter 56.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 56.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 54.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 57.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Dvorak
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Dvorak
Carter
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
7
Dvorak
Carter
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
57.9% (885)
-2.2%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
61.7% (133)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
45.4% (119)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Carter
Home
59.0% (432)
58.2% (543)
Away
54.8% (535)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Dvorak
Carter
P1
58.7%
57.5%
P2
53.9%
57.1%
P3
57.2%
55.8%
OT
70.6%
68.2%
Final 5 min
54.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |