Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorak wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.7% vs Carter 51.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 50.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 52.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Dvorak
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Dvorak
Carter
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
1
Dvorak
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
3
Dvorak
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Dvorak
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (203)
49.9% (935)
+6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
61.8% (157)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
46.7% (92)
-46.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Dvorak is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Dvorak shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Carter
Home
56.5% (138)
52.4% (638)
Away
53.4% (88)
50.0% (546)
By Period
Dvorak
Carter
P1
56.5%
49.6%
P2
57.6%
50.9%
P3
52.1%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
55.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |