Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.9% vs Carter 49.0% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 52.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 52.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 52.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Dvorak
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Dvorak
Carter
Last 10: Dvorak 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
5
Dvorak
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Dvorak
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (714)
49.6% (242)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.7% (157)
59.1% (22)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (191)
40.0% (50)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Dvorak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Dvorak shoots left. Carter is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Carter
Home
55.0% (516)
48.6% (173)
Away
49.3% (546)
48.9% (141)
By Period
Dvorak
Carter
P1
54.9%
52.1%
P2
51.1%
47.8%
P3
51.0%
46.6%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |