Christian Dvorak vs Joe Pavelski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 22-19 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 64.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 51.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 56.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Dvorak
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
19
(41 meetings)
22
19
Dvorak
Pavelski
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
8
10
Dvorak
Pavelski
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
8
5
Dvorak
Pavelski
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
4
Dvorak
Pavelski
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,536)
53.6% (8,791)
-0.6%
Power Play
55.6% (967)
58.2% (2,122)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (866)
50.9% (1,138)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Dvorak is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,979).
Dvorak shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Pavelski
Home
54.6% (3,995)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
51.8% (4,374)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Dvorak
Pavelski
P1
54.4%
53.5%
P2
51.8%
55.2%
P3
53.1%
53.9%
OT
58.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |