Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Pavelski 50.9% (+6.7%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 66.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 52.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 57.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Dvorak
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
51.5% (594)
+5.5%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
51.7% (87)
+31.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
28.6% (14)
+21.4%
On power play, Dvorak has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Dvorak is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dvorak shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Pavelski
Home
58.3% (151)
53.1% (339)
Away
57.4% (190)
49.2% (356)
By Period
Dvorak
Pavelski
P1
56.7%
53.8%
P2
56.7%
47.8%
P3
59.6%
50.2%
OT
60.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
61.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
57.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%