Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 58.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 66.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 66.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 51.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Dvorak
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Dvorak
Pavelski
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
5
Dvorak
Pavelski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
0
Dvorak
Pavelski
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
52.5% (570)
+3.2%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
54.5% (145)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
44.4% (36)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Dvorak is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Dvorak shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Pavelski
Home
59.0% (432)
55.0% (391)
Away
54.8% (535)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Dvorak
Pavelski
P1
58.7%
50.8%
P2
53.9%
55.0%
P3
57.2%
52.0%
OT
70.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |