Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 47.1% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 90.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 71.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 81.1%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Dvorak
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Pavelski
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Dvorak
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (851)
51.3% (643)
-4.4%
Power Play
48.7% (113)
58.1% (172)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (42)
46.3% (41)
-5.8%
On power play, Pavelski has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Dvorak is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Dvorak shoots left. Pavelski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Pavelski
Home
47.5% (526)
53.8% (431)
Away
46.0% (480)
51.1% (425)
By Period
Dvorak
Pavelski
P1
48.0%
48.4%
P2
46.3%
52.0%
P3
46.2%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
46.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 17:28 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |