Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Rossi 48.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 55.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 76.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 51.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Dvorak
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dvorak
Rossi
Last 6: Dvorak 4-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Rossi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Dvorak
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
47.5% (139)
+4.7%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
40.0% (5)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
50.0% (2)
+3.5%
On power play, Dvorak has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Rossi is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Rossi
Home
54.1% (423)
53.2% (47)
Away
50.2% (494)
44.4% (99)
By Period
Dvorak
Rossi
P1
51.4%
44.4%
P2
52.0%
45.5%
P3
52.4%
53.2%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |