Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Rossi 45.3% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 52.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 89.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 72.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Dvorak
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dvorak
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Rossi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (291)
44.5% (701)
+12.5%
Power Play
83.3% (18)
56.1% (41)
+27.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
0.0% (7)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Dvorak is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Dvorak shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Rossi
Home
58.3% (151)
46.8% (385)
Away
57.4% (190)
42.6% (364)
By Period
Dvorak
Rossi
P1
56.7%
42.8%
P2
56.7%
43.9%
P3
59.6%
47.4%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.8%
37.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
57.8%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |