Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rossi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Rossi 50.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 50.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 58.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Dvorak
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Dvorak
Rossi
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
2
Dvorak
Rossi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Dvorak
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
52.8% (400)
+0.9%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
36.1% (36)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
37.0% (27)
+10.6%
On power play, Dvorak has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Rossi
Home
53.6% (461)
50.0% (242)
Away
52.9% (507)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Dvorak
Rossi
P1
54.1%
54.9%
P2
52.9%
48.7%
P3
53.8%
47.9%
OT
36.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |