Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Frost 48.7% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 67.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 55.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 52.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Dvorak
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dvorak
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Dvorak
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
47.4% (426)
+8.3%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
63.9% (36)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
20.0% (5)
+37.4%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Frost
Home
59.0% (432)
51.1% (221)
Away
54.8% (535)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Dvorak
Frost
P1
58.7%
47.5%
P2
53.9%
52.3%
P3
57.2%
44.7%
OT
70.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |