Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Frost 51.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 83.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 84.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 59.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Dvorak
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dvorak
Frost
Last 5: Dvorak 3-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
50.3% (825)
+6.1%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
54.9% (204)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
50.0% (4)
+0.6%
On power play, Dvorak has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Frost
Home
55.1% (501)
50.7% (489)
Away
56.4% (559)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Dvorak
Frost
P1
55.8%
53.6%
P2
52.5%
47.8%
P3
58.2%
52.0%
OT
63.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:17 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |