Christian Dvorak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 52.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (555)
47.6% (189)
+6.3%
Power Play
52.3% (86)
100.0% (2)
-47.7%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (61)
29.4% (17)
+24.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +47.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dvorak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.1% (341)
48.5% (132)
Away
54.3% (361)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.8%
51.4%
P2
53.4%
41.3%
P3
55.7%
48.5%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
53.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%