Christian Dvorak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.7%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 64.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
50.3% (479)
+6.1%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
50.0% (28)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
30.0% (50)
+20.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.1% (501)
48.9% (270)
Away
56.4% (559)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.8%
48.7%
P2
52.5%
50.0%
P3
58.2%
47.3%
OT
63.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |