Christian Dvorak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 55.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 50.8%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
47.6% (231)
+6.1%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
83.3% (12)
-29.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
33.3% (21)
+14.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.6% (461)
51.2% (164)
Away
52.9% (507)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.1%
50.0%
P2
52.9%
46.2%
P3
53.8%
49.5%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%