Christian Dvorak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Christian Dvorak holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dvorak 51.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Dvorak 66.5%
Defensive zone Dvorak 57.7%
Neutral zone Dvorak 57.6%
Result Christian Dvorak favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Dvorak Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 4 (9 meetings)
5
4
Dvorak Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Dvorak 5-4 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Dvorak Nugent-Hopkins
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
45.4% (527)
+6.8%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
41.2% (17)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
44.9% (138)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +8.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.1% (423)
46.1% (336)
Away
50.2% (494)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Dvorak
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
51.4%
49.1%
P2
52.0%
45.3%
P3
52.4%
42.0%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
39.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%
52.0%
52.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
45.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 12, 2023 2 09:57 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Feb 12, 2023 2 08:04 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Feb 12, 2023 2 00:35 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Feb 12, 2023 1 04:25 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 3, 2022 3 14:40 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Dec 3, 2022 2 12:43 Offensive Christian Dvorak
Dec 3, 2022 2 03:40 Defensive Christian Dvorak
Dec 3, 2022 1 16:37 Neutral Christian Dvorak
Dec 3, 2022 1 01:20 Offensive Christian Dvorak