Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 53.1%). Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 52.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 58.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 63.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Dvorak
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Dvorak
Monahan
Last 10: Dvorak 9-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
6
0
Dvorak
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dvorak
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (762)
53.2% (823)
+0.5%
Power Play
54.0% (124)
55.3% (159)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (82)
48.4% (95)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Dvorak shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Monahan
Home
53.6% (461)
54.6% (529)
Away
52.9% (507)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Dvorak
Monahan
P1
54.1%
49.0%
P2
52.9%
55.4%
P3
53.8%
53.6%
OT
36.4%
61.9%
Final 5 min
46.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:13 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |