Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 51.8% vs Monahan 53.9% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 57.9%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 73.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Dvorak
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (686)
54.5% (231)
-2.3%
Power Play
49.0% (104)
58.2% (67)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (127)
52.2% (23)
+1.3%
On power play, Monahan has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Dvorak shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Monahan
Home
54.1% (423)
53.5% (144)
Away
50.2% (494)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Dvorak
Monahan
P1
51.4%
52.5%
P2
52.0%
50.9%
P3
52.4%
60.8%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%