Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Monahan 52.8% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 65.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 77.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 65.5%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Dvorak
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Dvorak
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
51.5% (641)
+4.2%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
62.8% (129)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
33.3% (9)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Monahan
Home
59.0% (432)
53.9% (362)
Away
54.8% (535)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Dvorak
Monahan
P1
58.7%
48.0%
P2
53.9%
57.0%
P3
57.2%
54.1%
OT
70.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |