Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Monahan 52.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 68.4%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 80.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.7%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Dvorak
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Dvorak
Monahan
Last 10: Dvorak 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Dvorak
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
2
Dvorak
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
1
Dvorak
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
52.4% (853)
+4.0%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
58.6% (174)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
46.5% (144)
+4.1%
On power play, Dvorak has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Monahan
Home
55.1% (501)
53.4% (624)
Away
56.4% (559)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Dvorak
Monahan
P1
55.8%
53.7%
P2
52.5%
52.4%
P3
58.2%
51.6%
OT
63.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:34 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |