Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Dvorak wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 47.1% vs Monahan 51.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 73.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 85.2%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 73.9%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Dvorak
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Dvorak
Monahan
Last 10: Dvorak 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
8
Dvorak
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (851)
50.2% (1,117)
-3.3%
Power Play
48.7% (113)
55.5% (283)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (42)
56.8% (44)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dvorak is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Dvorak shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Monahan
Home
47.5% (526)
50.1% (731)
Away
46.0% (480)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Dvorak
Monahan
P1
48.0%
51.3%
P2
46.3%
50.3%
P3
46.2%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.9%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
46.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2017 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2017 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2017 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 13, 2017 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 11:53 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2016 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 17:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 8, 2016 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |