Christian Dvorak vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 30 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Hertl 54.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 61-42 in 103 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 76.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Dvorak
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
61
-
42
(103 meetings)
61
42
Dvorak
Hertl
Last 10: Dvorak 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
24
15
Dvorak
Hertl
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
20
10
Dvorak
Hertl
30 total
Neutral Zone
Even
17
17
Dvorak
Hertl
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
53.8% (8,268)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
59.3% (1,975)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
46.3% (806)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Dvorak shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Hertl
Home
54.7% (4,115)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Dvorak
Hertl
P1
54.5%
53.6%
P2
51.8%
54.1%
P3
53.0%
55.3%
OT
56.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |