Christian Dvorak vs Tommy Novak
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.1% vs Novak 43.3% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Novak leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Novak 66.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 77.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 51.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Dvorak
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Dvorak
Novak
Last 10: Dvorak 5-5 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
1
2
Dvorak
Novak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
1
Dvorak
Novak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Dvorak
Novak
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (6,743)
42.1% (1,539)
+10.9%
Power Play
55.7% (1,005)
51.9% (133)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (887)
50.0% (2)
+1.0%
On even strength, Dvorak has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Dvorak shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Novak
Home
54.7% (4,115)
45.3% (814)
Away
51.7% (4,520)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Dvorak
Novak
P1
54.5%
43.9%
P2
51.8%
42.8%
P3
53.0%
41.7%
OT
56.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:48 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |