Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Giroux 56.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 52-34 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 71.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 92.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 81.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Lowry
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
52
(86 meetings)
34
52
Lowry
Giroux
Last 10: Lowry 2-8 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
30
Lowry
Giroux
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
16
14
Lowry
Giroux
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
12
8
Lowry
Giroux
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
55.8% (13,861)
-3.0%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
60.5% (4,075)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
57.4% (2,518)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Home / Away
Lowry
Giroux
Home
53.5% (5,893)
59.2% (10,252)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
54.5% (10,242)
By Period
Lowry
Giroux
P1
51.5%
57.5%
P2
51.8%
56.2%
P3
51.4%
57.3%
OT
46.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | OT | 00:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |