Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings). Nelson wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Giroux 58.6% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 23-15 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 77.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 89.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 76.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Nelson
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
23
(38 meetings)
15
23
Nelson
Giroux
Last 10: Nelson 1-9 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
8
5
Nelson
Giroux
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
15
Nelson
Giroux
19 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Nelson
Giroux
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
57.7% (601)
-9.2%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
66.1% (112)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
63.6% (99)
-6.1%
On power play, Giroux has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Nelson is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Nelson shoots left. Giroux is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Nelson
Giroux
Home
55.0% (362)
59.9% (404)
Away
43.5% (345)
59.3% (408)
By Period
Nelson
Giroux
P1
49.3%
57.5%
P2
53.6%
62.1%
P3
46.0%
60.9%
OT
33.3%
35.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 04:56 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2021 | OT | 01:09 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2021 | OT | 00:58 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |