Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Giroux 59.5% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 79.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 87.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 79.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Nelson
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Nelson
Giroux
Last 10: Nelson 1-9 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
8
Nelson
Giroux
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
57.7% (821)
-7.8%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
65.5% (235)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
65.6% (160)
-37.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Giroux is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Nelson
Giroux
Home
49.8% (458)
62.5% (675)
Away
49.0% (506)
57.5% (541)
By Period
Nelson
Giroux
P1
50.1%
60.6%
P2
45.4%
59.8%
P3
52.7%
60.9%
OT
33.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
64.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |