Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Evans 52.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 54.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 63.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Giroux
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Giroux
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Giroux
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Giroux
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
54.4% (807)
+1.1%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
55.0% (20)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
46.1% (310)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Giroux is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Giroux shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Giroux
Evans
Home
59.0% (576)
53.7% (581)
Away
56.9% (576)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Giroux
Evans
P1
57.0%
54.6%
P2
58.1%
50.0%
P3
58.9%
52.3%
OT
52.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
61.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jake Evans |