Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Evans 55.4% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 81.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 77.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 62.2%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Giroux
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Giroux
Evans
Last 6: Giroux 3-3 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
1
Giroux
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Giroux
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
56.2% (477)
+4.1%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
70.0% (10)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
55.4% (204)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Giroux shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Giroux
Evans
Home
65.9% (337)
55.3% (374)
Away
59.1% (318)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Giroux
Evans
P1
62.1%
58.5%
P2
64.5%
55.7%
P3
60.9%
53.9%
OT
70.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |