Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Giroux wins 65.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Evans 52.6% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 97.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 55.5%
Neutral zone
Giroux 87.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 95.4%
95.4%
4.6%
Giroux
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Giroux
Evans
Last 5: Giroux 5-0 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
0
Giroux
Evans
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
54.4% (824)
+5.2%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
66.7% (9)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
48.1% (289)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Giroux is 65.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Giroux shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Giroux
Evans
Home
65.7% (461)
55.1% (541)
Away
57.7% (515)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Giroux
Evans
P1
60.7%
51.8%
P2
63.7%
53.3%
P3
60.2%
53.8%
OT
46.2%
38.5%
Final 5 min
63.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |