Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 25 meetings). Giroux wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Pavelski 54.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 30-23 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 73.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 73.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 65.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Giroux
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
23
(53 meetings)
30
23
Giroux
Pavelski
Last 10: Giroux 7-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
11
8
Giroux
Pavelski
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
16
9
Giroux
Pavelski
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
6
Giroux
Pavelski
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,768)
53.6% (8,791)
+2.2%
Power Play
60.5% (4,061)
58.2% (2,122)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
57.3% (2,486)
50.9% (1,138)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Giroux is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (6,107).
Giroux shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Giroux
Pavelski
Home
59.2% (10,192)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
54.6% (10,163)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Giroux
Pavelski
P1
57.5%
53.5%
P2
56.1%
55.2%
P3
57.3%
53.9%
OT
51.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
56.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 8, 2022 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 06:33 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |