Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 59.5% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 77.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 92.0%
Neutral zone
Giroux 83.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Giroux
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Giroux
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
52.5% (570)
+5.2%
Power Play
65.5% (235)
54.5% (145)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
65.6% (160)
44.4% (36)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Giroux is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Giroux shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Giroux
Pavelski
Home
62.5% (675)
55.0% (391)
Away
57.5% (541)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Giroux
Pavelski
P1
60.6%
50.8%
P2
59.8%
55.0%
P3
60.9%
52.0%
OT
47.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
64.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
60.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |