Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 76.3%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 71.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 83.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Giroux
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Giroux
Schmaltz
Last 5: Giroux 1-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Giroux
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
38.5% (309)
+17.0%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
53.2% (79)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
25.0% (12)
+33.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Giroux is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Giroux shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Giroux
Schmaltz
Home
59.0% (576)
38.0% (184)
Away
56.9% (576)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Giroux
Schmaltz
P1
57.0%
40.3%
P2
58.1%
39.9%
P3
58.9%
40.7%
OT
52.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
61.6%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
58.0%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |