Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Giroux wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Schmaltz 42.4% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 52.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 72.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Giroux
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Giroux
Schmaltz
Last 10: Giroux 2-8 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
7
Giroux
Schmaltz
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
5
1
Giroux
Schmaltz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,768)
41.1% (3,218)
+14.7%
Power Play
60.5% (4,061)
47.3% (637)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
57.3% (2,486)
47.2% (125)
+10.1%
On even strength, Giroux has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Giroux is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (6,107).
Giroux shoots right. Schmaltz is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Giroux
Schmaltz
Home
59.2% (10,192)
42.7% (1,978)
Away
54.6% (10,163)
41.8% (2,002)
By Period
Giroux
Schmaltz
P1
57.5%
41.1%
P2
56.1%
42.6%
P3
57.3%
43.0%
OT
51.4%
42.4%
Final 5 min
58.5%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
56.9%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
42.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |