Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 60.5% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 62.2% vs Schmaltz 47.1% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 51.9%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 64.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Giroux
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Giroux
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Giroux
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
63.2% (302)
46.5% (484)
+16.7%
Power Play
68.8% (93)
47.5% (99)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
64.5% (121)
46.7% (15)
+17.8%
On power play, Giroux has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Giroux is 60.5% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Giroux shoots right. Schmaltz is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Giroux
Schmaltz
Home
67.5% (277)
45.3% (298)
Away
61.1% (239)
48.0% (300)
By Period
Giroux
Schmaltz
P1
65.1%
40.4%
P2
64.7%
46.8%
P3
63.6%
53.4%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
64.5%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |