Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 80.3%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 58.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 66.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Giroux
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Giroux
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Giroux
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Giroux
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
45.9% (665)
+14.4%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
46.8% (111)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
50.0% (24)
+15.4%
On power play, Giroux has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Giroux is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Giroux shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Giroux
Schmaltz
Home
65.9% (337)
44.7% (409)
Away
59.1% (318)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Giroux
Schmaltz
P1
62.1%
40.3%
P2
64.5%
47.6%
P3
60.9%
51.0%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.3%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:19 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |