Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Cates 45.5% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 87.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 92.4%
Neutral zone
Giroux 78.8%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Giroux
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Giroux
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
45.4% (712)
+14.9%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
42.2% (102)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
44.7% (47)
+20.7%
On power play, Giroux has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Cates is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Giroux
Cates
Home
65.9% (337)
46.3% (423)
Away
59.1% (318)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Giroux
Cates
P1
62.1%
46.3%
P2
64.5%
47.1%
P3
60.9%
42.1%
OT
70.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
60.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |