Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Giroux wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Cates 43.2% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 98.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 92.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 93.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 94.9%
94.9%
5.1%
Giroux
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Giroux
Cates
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
1
Giroux
Cates
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
6
3
Giroux
Cates
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
3
4
Giroux
Cates
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,861)
44.1% (2,742)
+11.7%
Power Play
60.5% (4,075)
43.0% (242)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (2,518)
34.9% (373)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Giroux shoots right. Cates is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,073).
Home / Away
Giroux
Cates
Home
59.2% (10,252)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
54.5% (10,242)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Giroux
Cates
P1
57.5%
44.5%
P2
56.2%
43.5%
P3
57.3%
41.2%
OT
51.4%
29.4%
Final 5 min
58.5%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Noah Cates |