Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Giroux wins 60.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.4% vs Cates 45.1% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 97.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 88.8%
Neutral zone
Giroux 91.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Giroux
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Giroux
Cates
Last 10: Giroux 6-4 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
0
Giroux
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
4
3
Giroux
Cates
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
2
Giroux
Cates
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (606)
46.7% (912)
+12.9%
Power Play
69.3% (150)
33.9% (56)
+35.4%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (220)
35.0% (137)
+26.4%
On power play, Giroux has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Giroux is 60.3% vs left-shot opponents (756).
Giroux shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Giroux
Cates
Home
65.7% (461)
46.1% (521)
Away
57.7% (515)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Giroux
Cates
P1
60.7%
48.0%
P2
63.7%
42.3%
P3
60.2%
44.3%
OT
46.2%
31.3%
Final 5 min
63.5%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
61.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |