Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Giroux wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 57.3% vs Cates 45.8% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 77.9%
Defensive zone
Giroux 81.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 68.3%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Giroux
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Giroux
Cates
Last 5: Giroux 3-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
0
Giroux
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
2
0
Giroux
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
2
Giroux
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (661)
44.3% (271)
+11.2%
Power Play
65.5% (194)
77.8% (18)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (297)
31.7% (41)
+26.9%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Giroux is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Giroux shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Giroux
Cates
Home
59.0% (576)
52.0% (148)
Away
56.9% (576)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Giroux
Cates
P1
57.0%
42.7%
P2
58.1%
42.9%
P3
58.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
61.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.0%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Noah Cates |