Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwindt on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schwindt wins 38.7% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 50.3% vs Evans 52.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 78.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Schwindt
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Schwindt
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Schwindt
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwindt
2
1
Schwindt
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (209)
54.4% (824)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
66.7% (9)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
48.1% (289)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Schwindt has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Schwindt is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Schwindt shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Evans
Home
47.2% (123)
55.1% (541)
Away
54.7% (95)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Schwindt
Evans
P1
50.8%
51.8%
P2
51.2%
53.3%
P3
49.4%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.5%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |