Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Schwindt wins 36.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schwindt 46.8% vs Evans 55.4% (-11.8%)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 75.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Schwindt
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schwindt
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (122)
56.2% (477)
-12.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
70.0% (10)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
55.4% (204)
-11.0%
On even strength, Evans has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Schwindt is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Schwindt shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Schwindt
Evans
Home
40.3% (77)
55.3% (374)
Away
50.0% (58)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Schwindt
Evans
P1
47.6%
58.5%
P2
42.9%
55.7%
P3
43.2%
53.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
44.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%