Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.4%). Look for Sillinger on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Poehling 47.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 54.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 58.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 57.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Sillinger
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Sillinger
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
1
Sillinger
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
45.1% (437)
+1.6%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
56.4% (39)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
61.5% (13)
-31.2%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Sillinger is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Sillinger shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Poehling
Home
47.9% (374)
46.6% (232)
Away
45.2% (405)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Sillinger
Poehling
P1
48.5%
43.9%
P2
47.8%
49.1%
P3
42.8%
46.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
46.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |