Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Poehling 49.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sillinger 54.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 71.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 59.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Sillinger
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Sillinger
Poehling
Last 7: Sillinger 4-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Sillinger
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
50.4% (752)
-3.0%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
37.0% (27)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
45.3% (159)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Poehling
Home
45.9% (488)
51.2% (467)
Away
46.7% (484)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Sillinger
Poehling
P1
45.0%
54.6%
P2
44.5%
46.7%
P3
49.5%
46.7%
OT
45.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
46.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 15:08 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |