Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Poehling 50.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Sillinger leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 51.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 73.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 63.6%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Sillinger
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Sillinger
Poehling
Last 5: Sillinger 3-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sillinger
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Sillinger
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
1
Sillinger
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
52.6% (622)
-6.1%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
58.3% (12)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
39.8% (103)
+3.7%
On power play, Poehling has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Sillinger is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sillinger shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Poehling
Home
48.7% (339)
53.2% (393)
Away
43.4% (311)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Sillinger
Poehling
P1
46.3%
50.9%
P2
47.9%
56.2%
P3
44.0%
46.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
46.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |