Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Aho 52.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 84.0%
Defensive zone
Aho 66.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 69.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Sillinger
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sillinger
Aho
Last 5: Sillinger 4-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sillinger
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
2
0
Sillinger
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
51.6% (819)
-4.9%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
58.4% (173)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
46.3% (67)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Sillinger is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Sillinger shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Aho
Home
47.9% (374)
53.9% (568)
Away
45.2% (405)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Sillinger
Aho
P1
48.5%
55.4%
P2
47.8%
51.2%
P3
42.8%
50.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |