Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.7% vs Aho 54.9% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 61.9%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 89.4%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 75.9%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Sillinger
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Sillinger
Aho
Last 10: Sillinger 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
6
Sillinger
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
1
0
Sillinger
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Sillinger
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (535)
54.5% (870)
-8.0%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
62.4% (266)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
37.1% (62)
+6.4%
On power play, Aho has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Sillinger is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Sillinger shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Aho
Home
48.7% (339)
53.9% (603)
Away
43.4% (311)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Sillinger
Aho
P1
46.3%
54.1%
P2
47.9%
55.0%
P3
44.0%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
42.0%▬
42.0%
46.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | OT | 04:06 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |