Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.6% vs Aho 53.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Sillinger 53.2%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 67.5%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 63.5%
Result
Cole Sillinger favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Sillinger
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Sillinger
Aho
Last 10: Sillinger 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
7
Sillinger
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Sillinger
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sillinger
3
2
Sillinger
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (834)
51.2% (785)
-3.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
63.8% (213)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (77)
57.9% (57)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Sillinger is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Sillinger shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Aho
Home
45.9% (488)
54.9% (548)
Away
46.7% (484)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Sillinger
Aho
P1
45.0%
52.8%
P2
44.5%
58.9%
P3
49.5%
50.6%
OT
45.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:17 | Neutral | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |