Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Sillinger wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 44.5% vs Hertl 57.2% (-18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.4%
Defensive zone
Sillinger 64.2%
Neutral zone
Sillinger 55.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Sillinger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sillinger
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Sillinger
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
37.4% (99)
58.1% (823)
-20.7%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
56.2% (265)
+43.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
62.9% (35)
-12.9%
On power play, Sillinger has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sillinger is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Sillinger shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Hertl
Home
35.2% (54)
59.7% (561)
Away
43.6% (55)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Sillinger
Hertl
P1
45.5%
51.6%
P2
28.6%
63.8%
P3
38.5%
58.6%
Final 5 min
37.5%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
39.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |