Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sillinger on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sillinger wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sillinger 46.9% vs Hertl 52.3% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 68.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 90.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 86.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Sillinger
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sillinger
Hertl
Last 5: Sillinger 4-1 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sillinger
4
0
Sillinger
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Sillinger
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sillinger
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (694)
51.6% (1,084)
-4.9%
Power Play
53.8% (52)
61.0% (246)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
30.3% (33)
44.1% (136)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sillinger is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Sillinger shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Sillinger
Hertl
Home
47.9% (374)
55.2% (696)
Away
45.2% (405)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Sillinger
Hertl
P1
48.5%
55.4%
P2
47.8%
54.8%
P3
42.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sillinger
44.0%▲
40.5%
46.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Cole Sillinger |